Our good friend Mercer3 over at CROSSPORTS posted this today here. He specifically said I was free to use it, and so, I intend to. Here are your PL Playoff Scenarios.
LEHIGH
- Obviously clinches #1 with a win vs HC.
- If LU loses, LC wins and BU loses, Lafayette would get the #1 seed due to their sweep of Navy. Lehigh would get the #2. (#3 would still be in play.)
- If LU loses, BU wins and LC loses, Lehigh would get the #1 due to their split of Navy (Bucknell was swept by them). Bucknell would get the #2 and Lafayette the #3.
- If LU loses and BU and LC both win, since they all split with each other, it would again go to the Navy tiebreaker. Lafayette would get #1, Lehigh would get #2, and Bucknell would get #3.
LAFAYETTE and BUCKNELL
- LC can still get #1 as noted above. All of these scenarios are based on Lehigh winning:
- If LC and BU both win, Lafayette gets #2 based on their sweep of Navy. Bucknell gets #3.
- If LC and BU lose:
-- ...and Navy wins, then in round-robin of those teams LC went 3-1, Navy 2-2 and BU 1-3. So Lafayette would get #2. Navy would get #3 based on their sweep of BU and Bucknell would get #4.
-- ...and Navy loses, then Lafayette would get #2 due to their sweep of Navy, and Bucknell would get #3. (#4 would still be in play.)
- If LC loses and BU wins, then Bucknell gets #2 and Lafayette gets #3 (LC would win a tiebreak with Navy due to their sweep).
- If LC wins and BU loses, Lafayette gets #2, and:
-- if Navy wins, Navy gets #3 and Bucknell gets #4.
-- if Navy loses, Bucknell gets #3, and #4 would still be in play.
NAVY
- As noted above, if Navy wins and BU loses, then in all scenarios Navy gets #3 and Bucknell gets #4 based on Navy's sweep of Bucknell.
- If Navy wins and BU wins, then in all scenarios Navy gets #4.
- If Navy loses and AU wins, then American sneaks up to #4 and Navy drops to #5 based on AU's sweep of Navy.
- If Navy and AU both lose, then Navy stays at #4, and #5 is still in play.
AMERICAN
- As noted, if AU wins and Navy loses, American gets to #4 and Navy gets #5 based on AU's sweep of Navy.
- If AU and Navy both win, then American stays at #5.
- If AU loses:
-- and HC wins and CU loses, then Holy Cross would get #5 based on their split of LU. American would get #6.
-- and CU wins and HC loses, then American would get #5 based on their sweep of Navy. Colgate would get #6.
-- and HC and CU both win, then Colgate would get #5 due to their 3-1 record in round-robin among the three teams. Holy Cross would get #6 due to their split of LU. American would get #7.
HOLY CROSS and COLGATE and ARMY
- As noted above, HC and CU can get as high as #5 with an AU loss. All of these scenarios are based on AU winning:
- If HC wins:
-- and CU wins, then Colgate gets #6 based on their sweep of HC. Holy Cross gets #7. Army gets #8 no matter how they do.
-- and CU loses and Army wins, then Holy Cross gets #6. Army gets #7 due to their split with Navy, and Colgate gets #8.
-- and CU and Army both lose, then Holy Cross gets #6, Colgate #7 and Army #8.
- If HC loses, then in all scenarios, Colgate gets #6, Holy cross #7 and Army #8. Here are the explanations:
-- and CU wins and Army wins, then Colgate gets #6. Holy Cross gets #7 due to their split with LC, and Army gets #8.
-- and CU wins and Army loses, then Colgate gets #6, Holy Cross #7 and Army #8.
-- and CU loses and Army loses, then Colgate gets #6 due to their sweep of HC. Holy Cross gets #7 and Army gets #8.
-- and CU loses and Army wins, then Colgate gets #6 based on their 3-1 record in round-robin among the three teams. Holy Cross gets #7 due to their split with LC, and Army gets #8.
So bottom-line is AU could finish as high as 4th and as low as 7th. I think it's hard to say where we'll finish because all of the games, per usual in the PL, are up in the air. What do you all think?
We will win, so will navy=#5.
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